🌊 Growth’s Lost Decade?

The 2010s belonged to growth. Tech monopolies, zero interest rates, and oceans of liquidity turned every dollar into venture fuel. Value investors looked like dinosaurs, mocked for their dusty spreadsheets.

But the 2020s are not the 2010s. Rates are higher, inflation is sticky, and geopolitical tensions reshape supply chains. Suddenly, “boring” sectors — banks, energy, industrials — look like survivors instead of fossils.

👉 The tide is shifting. The question is: are you shifting with it?

⚓ History: Cycles Don’t Lie

  • 1970s → Inflation surge → energy & commodities crushed growth.

  • 1990s → Dot-com mania → growth soared, then imploded.

  • 2000s → Post-bubble recovery → value stocks dominated.

  • 2010s → Free money era → growth crushed value by ~250%.

👉 Every decade has a winner. Betting against rotation is betting against gravity.

🧭 The Ark Framework: Growth vs. Value

Growth Stocks (2010s heroes)

  • Fuel: cheap capital.

  • Weakness: higher rates, debt, and regulation.

  • Example: high-flying tech firms facing shrinking margins.

Value Stocks (2020s revival)

  • Fuel: real cash flows + dividends.

  • Weakness: cyclical, slower innovation.

  • Example: energy producers, banks, consumer staples.

Balanced Ark Strategy

  • Growth bucket → AI, biotech, innovators.

  • Income bucket → dividend-heavy value ETFs.

  • Security bucket → commodities, treasuries.

  • Legacy bucket → blend both for generational wealth.

📊 Ark Deep Dive: Global Picture

  • U.S. → Tech still dominates, but stretched valuations make banks and industrials attractive again.

  • Europe → Value-rich markets (banks, energy, industrials) trade at record discounts vs U.S. peers.

  • Emerging Markets → Commodities and local banks offer value opportunities.

  • China → Growth implosion shows why diversification matters.

👉 Value isn’t just a U.S. story, it’s a global rotation.

💰 Practical ETF Examples

  • Value ETFs: Vanguard Value (VTV), iShares MSCI Europe Value (IUVL).

  • Growth ETFs: Invesco QQQ (QQQ), iShares MSCI Europe Growth (EUGN).

  • Blended Strategies: VWCE (All-World, includes both), or custom split.

🧑 Case Study: The Overexposed Growth Investor

Elena, 40, built a 90% growth-heavy portfolio in 2021, heavy on Nasdaq and AI hype. In 2022–23, she saw deep drawdowns while her friend Marco, who owned boring dividend ETFs, slept peacefully. By 2025, Elena rotated 30% into value ETFs, stabilising returns without sacrificing upside.

👉 Lesson: It’s not about abandoning growth — it’s about balance.

🕰️ Looking Ahead: 2026 Scenarios

  • Bullish 2026 → Inflation fades, soft landing → growth rebounds (AI, biotech lead).

  • Bearish 2026 → Sticky inflation, high rates → value dominates (banks, energy, industrials).

  • Chaotic 2026 → Geopolitical shocks → commodities and defence stocks win.

👉 My hot take: 2026 will be the year investors rediscover dividends and balance sheets. Growth isn’t dead, but value is the compass.

💡 Contrarian Take

👉 “AI hype is 2025’s Tesla moment — spectacular, but fragile. 2026 will belong to dull banks and boring oil stocks.”

🚀 Take Action Today

  1. Check if your portfolio is >80% growth — if yes, you’re exposed.

  2. Add one value ETF or dividend stock before 2026 begins.

  3. Balance growth optimism with value resilience.

👉 Want to see how I’m rotating into value for 2026? Copy my portfolio on eToro and follow along.

🔮 Next Week on The Wealth’s Ark

“Top 5 eToro Investors to Watch (Besides Me)”
Because sometimes the best captains are the ones no one notices.

Free Resource for This Issue
Growth vs. Value Rotation Tracker (Excel) — Log your allocations, monitor sector performance, and adjust quarterly.

Growth_vs_Value_Rotation_Tracker.ods

Growth_vs_Value_Rotation_Tracker.ods

13.74 KBVND.OASIS.OPENDOCUMENT.SPREADSHEET File

A Year-End Reflection

2025 was a year of storms, markets swinging between AI euphoria and inflation fears. But every storm clarifies who’s steering with purpose, and who’s just drifting.

I want to thank you for boarding The Wealth’s Ark this year. Whether you joined in January or just last week, this community is proof that thoughtful, contrarian, disciplined investors still exist in a noisy world.

As we sail into 2026, my promise is simple: more deep dives, more tools, and more unfiltered takes to help you grow, protect, and pass on your wealth.

👉 Stay disciplined. Stay contrarian. And never stop building your Ark.

Happy New Year,
— The Captain of Wealth’s Ark

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